Patrick Geryl : Solar Flare Predictions Revised.
- uploaded: Nov 7, 2012
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Update - Mega filament eruption October 27th - earth directed.Update - there was an X flare October 22ndAugust 29, 2012: Opposition Saturn -- Venus across the Sun August 29 -- September 4, 2012: Conjunction Jupiter -- CeresConclusion: Because of the oppositions and Triple with Ceres, large M flares and an X are possible August 31 -- September 2, 2012: Triple Line Up: Neptune -- Earth - MercuryUpdate M1.0 17th August ,M 5 flare 18th August - again maybe was stronger..Update 17:05 17th August M2.4 flare over the eastern limb but maybe larger ! : watch this http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vR_svZfX5XU&feature=plcpUpdate M Flare already ! July 27th 17:30 UT approx'M 6 Flare 28th July .Update huge farside blast 23rd July..reports say this is the fastest CME ever recorded !Update M 7.7 Flare July 19th sunspot 1520Update - 16:36 GMTAlready happening? Long Duration event now CME in progressJuly 18 -- 19, 2012: Long Triple Line Up: Mars -- Earth -- UranusJuly 19, 2012: Mercury -- Moon -- Earth Lined UpJuly 19, 2012: Conjunction Pluto -- Mercury and the SunConclusion: Long Triple Line Up can induce large M flare in combination with now weak Jupiter -- Ceres -- Earth -- Venus Line Up... 7+ Earthquakes?http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/Xray_1m.giflink to previous video. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=97CsiHtBKZ4Maybe August 15th 16th will be big ?X 6.9 flare from August 9, 2011The following oppositions loaded up the Sun for the X6.9 flare from August9, 2011. 2012.July 13 - 22, 2011: Long opposition Pluto - Venus across the SunJuly 14 - 21 , 2011: Opposition Mercury - Mars across the SunAugust 2, 2011: Conjunction Mercury - Pluto and the SunAugust 4 - 28, 2011: Long opposition Venus - Earth across the Sun startsAugust 7 - 9, 2011: Strong Triple line Up: Neptune - Earth - MercuryAugust 9, 2011: Line Ups Pluto - Moon - Earth and Mars - Moon - EarthAugust 10 - 11, 2011: Triple line Up: Pluto - Earth - MarsRemarks: Strong Triple Line Up with the Earth during 2 days followed byanother Triple Line Up with the Earth. while the Earth is in a longopposition across the Sun with Venus. the X flare happened in the middle ofthese Triples!Triple Line Up: Saturn - Venus - Jupiter (middle). This Line Up is strong onAugust 15. So it helped trigger a large X flare 6 days before the alignment!Aug 14, 2012: Conjunction Uranus - Venus and the SunAugust 14 - 18: Triple Line Up Jupiter - Ceres - Mercury (strong from July30 - August 20)August 14 - 15, 2012: Long Triple Line Up: Saturn - Mars - EarthAugust 14 - 15, 2012: Long Triple Line Up: Pluto - Earth - VenusAugust 15, 2012: Mercury - Moon - Earth Lined UpAugust 16 - 17, 2012: Opposition Mercury - Saturn across the SunAugust 16 - 18, 2012: Opposition Jupiter - Mars across the Sun perfectConclusion: Many M flares and very strong X flare and filament eruptionpossible. X 10+ is possible! 7 + Earthquakes?