CME's- The Sun, Its Happenings, and Potential

Tue Jun 12, 2012 3:25 am » by **Shaggietrip**

Deleted my post wrong data! errrrrrr. Let me revisit that.

Now even I think I am a bit of a ...

Tue Jun 12, 2012 3:26 am » by **Yuya63**

Thanks Shaggie. :cheers:

Tue Jun 12, 2012 3:34 am » by **Shaggietrip**

The57ironman wrote:.

...... ...aurora borealis this week or weekend....?....

.

I would expect it to be best for the next few days. Have to see whats following the M class flares in. But some good borealis I am sure the next day or two.
Yes G1 class happening now.

G 1

Minor

Power systems: weak power grid fluctuations can occur.

Spacecraft operations: minor impact on satellite operations possible.

Other systems: migratory animals are affected at this and higher levels; aurora is commonly visible at high latitudes (northern Michigan and Maine)**.

Kp = 5

1700 per cycle
(900 days per cycle)
Source: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 163 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jun 2012

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1507 (S26E17) was the
most active region of the period, producing several C-flares. The
largest of these was a C1/Sf at 1903Z. Region 1504 (S17E40) is the
largest group on the disk and managed to produce a C-class flare.
Regions 1504 and 1507 are both growing steadily. There were no
Earth-directed CMEs observed during the period.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to range
from low to moderate. An isolated M-class event is likely with
Regions 1504 and 1507 the most probable source.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was generally quiet to unsettled. Minor storm
levels were observed at high latitudes during 10/0600Z to 10/0900Z.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day 1 (12 June). An increase
in activity is expected mid-day due to a glancing blow from a CME
observed on 08 June. Activity is expected to return to quiet
partway through day 2 (13 June) as the effects of the CME subside.
Activity is expected to remain quiet on day 3 (14 June).

III. Event Probabilities 12 Jun-14 Jun
Class M 55/55/55
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Source: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/forecast.html

Whew, that was close. :cheers:

Tue Jun 12, 2012 3:41 am » by **Shaggietrip**

Yuya63 wrote::flop: Thanks Shaggie.

Thank you,

Here is a vid of what is causing this action

@ 1:50 is a cygnet showing impact

Trudi Kay

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Wed Jun 13, 2012 1:35 am » by **Shaggietrip**

There are many things that give me questions in this video. Watch it if you can make it through. The launch vehicle itself. What it is made to detect is another. Just a note of thought. We are sucumbing to this type of launch because we have abandoned our space program. Sure some have castrated me for saying as much. But we have!

Oh boy this is going to get us some kick ass images of what deep out there. What the frack about what is close!!!! Come on the moon, Mars. Our damn hood for crying out loud!

NuStar

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Why has the U.S. scaled down? Others seem to be excelling. I really am at a loss in thought at times trying to figure this out. It may be the cost of Wars. Could be that there relly is no money. Could be it all Black Op.

I am 95% positive that if one was to vote on War or Space, Space would win.

I just wanted to post some thoughts. Your thoughts are indeed welcome.

Now for a little spice in this thread.

Listen to this and any Induction Magnetometer Gurus want to help out feel free.

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For today

Dr K Strong

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SuspiciousObservers 3mins. Good as always but may be old news to some of you.

Any Brainiacs with an answer to the none fission part or the gamma bursts speak up. Mentions a blurb about electric universe. Hmmm, that is what I have been doing research on but smaller scale.

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That is all I will burden you with today.

ChronicNerd your thoughts and intelligence is sorely missed on this thread. I do hope you are well. This is a time of your knowledge. I do wish you the best and hope you revisit and comment.

I dismiss no one that has or can contribute. Thanks to all that follow the thread

Stay well :cheers:

Fri Jun 15, 2012 3:17 pm » by **Rich316**

Quite a few have disappeared hey Shaggie! I'm still around, busy as ever but still here and appreciate your work!

Fri Jun 15, 2012 6:47 pm » by **Alternateworld**

Seems we're due quite a blast from this one...

Fri Jun 15, 2012 9:32 pm » by **Mob 2,0**

News June 15, 2012: Major Spaceweather Coming

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TODAYS LINKS
West Coast Acid: http://news.sciencemag.org/sciencenow/2 ... ff-calif...
Temperature Extremes: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/20 ... 131059.htm
China Spy: http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/ ... BRE85E06...

REPEAT LINKS
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com/ [Look on the left at the X-ray Flux and Solar Wind Speed/Density]

HAARP: http://www.haarp.alaska.edu/haarp/data.html [Click online data, and have a little fun]

SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/ [Place to find Solar Images and Videos - as seen from earth]

SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/cgi-bin ... ie_theater [SOHO; Lasco and EIT - as seen from earth]

Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/images [Stereo; Cor, EUVI, HI - as seen from the side]

SunAEON:http://www.sunaeon.com/#/solarsystem/ [Just click it... trust me]

SOLARIMG: http://solarimg.org/artis/ [All purpose data viewing site]

iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html [Free Application; for advanced sun watchers]

NOAA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wsa-enlil/cme-based/ [CME Evolution]

RSOE: http://hisz.rsoe.hu/alertmap/index2.php [That cool alert map I use]

LISS: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/monitoring/o ... ts_gsn.php

Gamma Ray Bursts: http://grb.sonoma.edu/ [Really? You can't figure out what this one is for?]

BARTOL Cosmic Rays: http://neutronm.bartol.udel.edu//spacew ... lcome.html [Top left box, look for BIG blue circles]

TORCON: http://www.weather.com/news/tornado-torcon-index [Tornado Forecast for the day]

GOES Weather: http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/goes/ [Clouds over America]

INTELLICAST: http://www.intellicast.com/ [Weather site used by many youtubers]

NASA News: http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/

PHYSORG: http://phys.org/ [GREAT News Site!]

:cheers:

Sat Jun 16, 2012 2:44 am » by **Shaggietrip**

Demobe wrote:News June 15, 2012: Major Spaceweather Coming

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TODAYS LINKS
West Coast Acid: http://news.sciencemag.org/sciencenow/2 ... ff-calif...
Temperature Extremes: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/20 ... 131059.htm
China Spy: http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/ ... BRE85E06...

REPEAT LINKS
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com/ [Look on the left at the X-ray Flux and Solar Wind Speed/Density]

HAARP: http://www.haarp.alaska.edu/haarp/data.html [Click online data, and have a little fun]

SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/ [Place to find Solar Images and Videos - as seen from earth]

SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/cgi-bin ... ie_theater [SOHO; Lasco and EIT - as seen from earth]

Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/images [Stereo; Cor, EUVI, HI - as seen from the side]

SunAEON:http://www.sunaeon.com/#/solarsystem/ [Just click it... trust me]

SOLARIMG: http://solarimg.org/artis/ [All purpose data viewing site]

iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html [Free Application; for advanced sun watchers]

NOAA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wsa-enlil/cme-based/ [CME Evolution]

RSOE: http://hisz.rsoe.hu/alertmap/index2.php [That cool alert map I use]

LISS: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/monitoring/o ... ts_gsn.php

Gamma Ray Bursts: http://grb.sonoma.edu/ [Really? You can't figure out what this one is for?]

BARTOL Cosmic Rays: http://neutronm.bartol.udel.edu//spacew ... lcome.html [Top left box, look for BIG blue circles]

TORCON: http://www.weather.com/news/tornado-torcon-index [Tornado Forecast for the day]

GOES Weather: http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/goes/ [Clouds over America]

INTELLICAST: http://www.intellicast.com/ [Weather site used by many youtubers]

NASA News: http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/

PHYSORG: http://phys.org/ [GREAT News Site!]

Great post. Thank you for the help :flop:

________________________

Alternateworld wrote:Seems we're due quite a blast from this one...

Now that is something else. I try to picture is size and power in my head but I will never be able to. Thanks.

_____________________

Rich316 wrote:Quite a few have disappeared hey Shaggie! I'm still around, busy as ever but still here and appreciate your work!

Thanks for the kudos. Was wondering what was up. I also am swamped. I do what I can to keep thing updated. But is lacking I must say.

_____________

I would like to thank all that have posted! keep them coming :flop:

Sun Jun 17, 2012 5:19 am » by **The57ironman**

.

published on Jun 16, 2012 by Trudi Kay
For the past some days our sun's AE 1504 has been erupting with consecutive CMEs towards space and our earth, ranging from class C1.0 to class M2.0 eruptions.

Today the previous class M1.9 eruption & class M1.2 CME is impacting earth's magnetosphere causing a mild to medium magnetic storm with some disturbance in satellite reception possible. Tonight's aurora should be splendid.
UPDATE: 10:00p.m Intitially the impact appeared to be weak, but now the effects are growing. Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab say the impact strongly compressed Earth's magnetic field, directly exposing some geosynchronous satellites to solar wind plasma. Geomagnetic storms and auroras in the hours ahead.
Sunspot AR1504 has developed a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for strong solar flares--and the huge sunspot is directly facing Earth.

The massive CME erupting on the sun earlier today should arrive sometimes in the. days up ahead.

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