CME's- The Sun, Its Happenings, and Potential

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Expand view Topic review: CME's- The Sun, Its Happenings, and Potential

Re: CME's- The Sun, Its Happenings, and Potential

Post by The57ironman » Sun Aug 30, 2015 10:15 pm

Shaggietrip wrote: Here is a mix of data, hang in there not that bad.






nice..had you ever posted that chart before..? ... :headscratch:

Image

Re: CME's- The Sun, Its Happenings, and Potential

Post by Shaggietrip » Sun Aug 30, 2015 9:35 pm

Went thru my sources grabbed some items from several. Here is a mix of data, hang in there not that bad.








:cheers: :sunny: :cheers:

Re: CME's- The Sun, Its Happenings, and Potential

Post by Shaggietrip » Fri Aug 28, 2015 3:08 am

Ha...busted, this one has several items not as clean as would have liked but 3hrs of collection and editing is enough. could have used 1 more hr in editing maybe.







:sunny: :cheers: :cheers: :cheers:

Re: CME's- The Sun, Its Happenings, and Potential

Post by The57ironman » Tue Aug 25, 2015 1:30 pm

Shaggietrip wrote:
Visual no graphs

.

ImageImageImageImageImageImage


Image

Re: CME's- The Sun, Its Happenings, and Potential

Post by Shaggietrip » Tue Aug 25, 2015 2:36 am

Late update of couple of the events today. Some data has shown little CME's. The events are earth facing despite some of the cygnets. They seem to differ along with Beacon and others sources failing to update so well.

Visual no graphs




:sunny:

Re: CME's- The Sun, Its Happenings, and Potential

Post by Shaggietrip » Mon Aug 24, 2015 12:23 pm

2403 popped off a M5.6 flare. Earth Facing


Nemisis Maturity




:sunny:

Re: CME's- The Sun, Its Happenings, and Potential

Post by Shaggietrip » Sun Aug 23, 2015 10:02 pm

~ CN :flop:

Thank you for that update on the poles. Was going to look at that item today but did not. It [earths poles] has not been brought up in some time. Interesting point on Solstice and we should all try to remember to look at differences afterwards. Minor or Major. As you said mostly Sun activities for me. flares,cmes ect, but do look into other items related.Which seems to be everything. I had noticed the ramp up especially with sunspot 2403. The cygnets along with SOHO and other sources do not truly show the M 2-3 class flare correctly. Visual Data seems to either not be there or misrepresented. That is just my opinion. Now that 2403 is Earth Facing should be interesting to see if it throws a few more our way.



:cheers:









:sunny:

Re: CME's- The Sun, Its Happenings, and Potential

Post by Chronicnerd » Sun Aug 23, 2015 3:46 pm

Hey Shaggie,

I know you are always watching the flares and I have posted about the Earth's magnetic field quite a bit, over the past year, and how we can start to expect to see more energetic impacts as the dual north and south magnetic poles continue to drift.

Image

August 21st through the 23rd (thus far) has produced a "relatively" steady series of M-Class flares from sunspot AR2403. If you look at the Earth's "collective" magnetic north pole's motion in the above linked image, you will notice that between 2015 of March and towards the end of 2015 July the outward drift looks like it is slowing down. However, right at the end of July (21st is last measurement) you will see it is starting to head further away. My current guess is that as Earth approaches the winter solstice, the Sun is getting closer to the end of a "mini-solar cycle" which always results in a slight adjustment of its fields.

The end result? I am banking on a *several day* high K-Index starting around August 24th through August 28th. It should have high spikes that trail with a 9-12 hour lower K-Index and should reflect the *six M-class* flares that occurred between the 21st and 23rd. If my "guesstimates" are correct, we should see some abnormally higher K-index ranges...where a typical M-1 class flare about 4 to 8 years ago would yield a 5 to 6 K-Index...we should see something like a 7+ K-index with a potential to get close to a 9 sometime between the 27th and 28th.

With all of the tropical storms in both the Pacific and Atlantic, we could also see a dramatic increase in their strength if the impacts hit over either ocean...so that will be something to watch for starting around the 26th to around the 30th.

Just a heads up... high possibility of some stormy weather (both solar and tropical) this coming up week.

Cheers,

-CN
:sunny:

Re: CME's- The Sun, Its Happenings, and Potential

Post by Shaggietrip » Sun Aug 16, 2015 7:18 pm

Here is a look at some recent CME's and few other events.






:sunny:

Re: CME's- The Sun, Its Happenings, and Potential

Post by Shaggietrip » Sat Aug 15, 2015 6:47 pm

Magnetic Storm arrived a bit early. Filament lifts releasing in several regions the past few days. Here is a look at the event causing the G3 storm.


nemesis maturity





I may have to make a compilation video tomorrow. I do not have the energy today.



:( :cheers: :sunny:

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