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Ann Selzer announces her retirement after botched Iowa prediction

SUMMARY

Top pollster J. Ann Selzer will retire after her Iowa Poll inaccurately predicted Vice President Kamala Harris would lead Donald Trump in the 2024 election. The poll showed Harris ahead 47-44%, but Trump won by 13 points. Selzer admitted to the “16-point miss” and acknowledged that her poll may have motivated Republican turnout.

Gannett Media plans to evolve the Iowa Poll to improve accuracy. Selzer, who has been conducting the poll since 1997, announced that her decision to retire was made over a year ago as she transitions to new opportunities.


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